Category: Analysis

The End of World Order? Rebuild ‘core coalition’ of liberal democratic states

     

  Alongside the Cold War conflict with Soviet Russia, COVID-19 is “one of the two greatest tests of the U.S.-led international order since its founding,” according to Robert D. Blackwill,… Read more »

Europe’s New Authoritarianism? COVID-19’s challenge to democracy

     

While autocratic regimes have tended to take more stringent policy measures to cope with the Covid-19 pandemic spread, such measures appear to be less effective in reducing mobility when compared… Read more »

Turkey & Russia: Not autocratic birds of the same feather

     

Democracies can reset themselves by changing governments through elections. Modern Russia cannot, says Alexander Baunov, a Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center and Editor in Chief of Carnegie.ru. By the confluence… Read more »

‘Nuclear option’ spells beginning of the end for Hong Kong’s one-country, two-systems

     

SPORTING A HELMET, goggles and a respirator, the uniform of Hong Kong’s anti-government protesters, Lady Liberty raises her left arm to the sky—or rather, to the ceiling (see below). She… Read more »

Why democracies have the edge in coping with crisis

     

Throughout the centuries, competitors of the prevailing system have known that disaster presents them with an opportunity. Writing about the Black Death, which culled more than 40 per cent of… Read more »

Hope for Eastern Europe’s civil society: Scenarios for the Eastern Partnership

     

  Hundreds of people in Minsk protested against the rule of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko in the largest opposition demonstration of the year. They denounced the authoritarian rule of Lukashenko, who… Read more »

Pandemic represents ‘high-water mark’ for brittle authoritarian model’s appeal?

     

It is quite possible that the coronavirus pandemic will represent the high-water mark for the appeal of the authoritarian model and of its two standard-bearers, China and Russia, according to… Read more »

Has Covid consolidated Xi’s rule? China’s three strategic options

     

There is a growing body of evidence, assembled and interpreted by talented China experts, that the Chinese government is indeed aiming for global power and perhaps global primacy over the… Read more »